Question 1

What was "Toronto Raptors vs. Houston Rockets" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Toronto Raptors vs. Houston Rockets was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Houston Rockets led the market at 88% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Toronto at 13%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Toronto Raptors vs. Houston Rockets"?

Accepted Answer

Houston Rockets held the lead at 88% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Houston Rockets, Toronto at 13% were the next closest contenders. The 34.7% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Toronto Raptors vs. Houston Rockets" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Houston Rockets: 99¢ on Kalshi, 65¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Toronto: 1¢ on Kalshi, 36¢ on Polymarket, 2¢ on ProphetX. The 34.7% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 88% odds for Houston Rockets mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 88¢ meant the market estimated a 88% chance that Houston Rockets would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 88¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 14% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
Houston RocketsWINNER	99%	65%	99%
Toronto	1%	36%	2%

Houston Rockets Wins: Toronto Raptors vs. Houston Rockets

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Toronto Raptors vs. Houston Rockets