About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Raptors vs. Lakers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-18
This market resolved on 2026-01-18. Los Angeles Lakers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 75%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Los Angeles LakersWINNER | 99% | 52% |
Toronto | 1% | 49% |
Raptors vs. Lakers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Los Angeles Lakers led the market at 75% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Toronto at 25%.
Los Angeles Lakers held the lead at 75% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Los Angeles Lakers, Toronto at 25% were the next closest contenders. The 47.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Los Angeles Lakers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. Toronto: 1¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. The 47.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 75¢ meant the market estimated a 75% chance that Los Angeles Lakers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 75¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 33% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Los Angeles Lakers
75.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Toronto wins the Toronto at Los Angeles L professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.