Live prediction market odds for Raptors vs. Heat. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-15
This market resolved on 2025-12-15. Toronto was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 67%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
TorontoWINNER | 99% | 36% |
TorontoWINNER | 99% | 34% |
Miami Heat | 1% | 67% |
Miami Heat | 1% | 65% |
Raptors vs. Heat was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Toronto led the market at 67% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Toronto at 66%, Miami Heat at 34%, Miami Heat at 33%.
Toronto held the lead at 67% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Toronto, Toronto at 66% and Miami Heat at 34% and Miami Heat at 33% were the next closest contenders. The 65.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Toronto: 99¢ on Kalshi, 36¢ on Polymarket. Toronto: 99¢ on Kalshi, 34¢ on Polymarket. Miami Heat: 1¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket. Miami Heat: 1¢ on Kalshi, 65¢ on Polymarket. The 65.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 67¢ meant the market estimated a 67% chance that Toronto would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 67¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 49% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Toronto
67.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Miami wins the Toronto vs Miami professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 15, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
