Live prediction market odds for Raptors vs. Bucks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-18
This market resolved on 2025-12-18. Toronto was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 80%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
TorontoWINNER | 99% | 62% |
Milwaukee Bucks | 1% | 39% |
Raptors vs. Bucks was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Toronto led the market at 80% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Milwaukee Bucks at 20%.
Toronto held the lead at 80% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Toronto, Milwaukee Bucks at 20% were the next closest contenders. The 37.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Toronto: 99¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket. Milwaukee Bucks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket. The 37.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 80¢ meant the market estimated a 80% chance that Toronto would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 80¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 25% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Toronto
80.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Milwaukee wins the Toronto vs Milwaukee professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 18, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
