Live prediction market odds for Raptors vs. Magic. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-30
This market resolved on 2026-01-30. Orlando was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 77%.
nba-tor-orl-2026-01-30 : Sports event: Raptors vs. Magic - nba
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
OrlandoWINNER | 99% | 56% |
Toronto | 1% | 45% |
Raptors vs. Magic was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Orlando led the market at 77% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Toronto at 23%.
Orlando held the lead at 77% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Orlando, Toronto at 23% were the next closest contenders. The 43.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Orlando: 99¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. Toronto: 1¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket. The 43.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 77¢ meant the market estimated a 77% chance that Orlando would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 77¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 30% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Orlando
77.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Toronto wins the Toronto at Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
