Live prediction market odds for Trail Blazers vs. Warriors. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-11-21
This market resolved on 2025-11-21. Golden State Warriors was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 89%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Golden State WarriorsWINNER | 99% | 79% |
Portland | 1% | 22% |
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Golden State Warriors led the market at 89% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Portland at 11%.
Golden State Warriors held the lead at 89% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Golden State Warriors, Portland at 11% were the next closest contenders. The 20.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Golden State Warriors: 99¢ on Kalshi, 79¢ on Polymarket. Portland: 1¢ on Kalshi, 22¢ on Polymarket. The 20.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 89¢ meant the market estimated a 89% chance that Golden State Warriors would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 89¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 12% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Golden State Warriors
88.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Portland wins the Portland at Golden State professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
