Live prediction market odds for Trail Blazers vs. Kings. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-20
This market resolved on 2025-12-20. Portland was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 80%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
PortlandWINNER | 99% | 61% |
PortlandWINNER | 99% | 44% |
Sacramento | 1% | 57% |
Sacramento | 1% | 40% |
Trail Blazers vs. Kings was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Portland led the market at 80% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Portland at 71%, Sacramento at 29%, Sacramento at 20%.
Portland held the lead at 80% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Portland, Portland at 71% and Sacramento at 29% and Sacramento at 20% were the next closest contenders. The 55.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Portland: 99¢ on Kalshi, 61¢ on Polymarket. Portland: 99¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. Sacramento: 1¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. Sacramento: 1¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket. The 55.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 80¢ meant the market estimated a 80% chance that Portland would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 80¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 25% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Portland
79.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Sacramento wins the Portland vs Sacramento professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 20, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
