About This Market
ShareThis market has resolved.
Live prediction market odds for Trail Blazers vs. Spurs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-03
This market resolved on 2026-01-03. Portland was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 62%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
PortlandWINNER | 99% | 26% |
San Antonio | 1% | 75% |
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Portland led the market at 62% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include San Antonio at 38%.
Portland held the lead at 62% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Portland, San Antonio at 38% were the next closest contenders. The 73.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Portland: 99¢ on Kalshi, 26¢ on Polymarket. San Antonio: 1¢ on Kalshi, 75¢ on Polymarket. The 73.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 62¢ meant the market estimated a 62% chance that Portland would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 62¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 61% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Portland
62.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf San Antonio wins the Portland vs San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.