About This Market
ShareThis market has resolved.
Live prediction market odds for Jazz vs. Mavericks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-15
This market resolved on 2026-01-15. Dallas Mavericks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Dallas MavericksWINNER | 99% | 91% |
Dallas MavericksWINNER | 99% | 56% |
Utah | 1% | 44% |
Utah | 1% | 9% |
Jazz vs. Mavericks was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Dallas Mavericks led the market at 95% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Dallas Mavericks at 78%, Utah at 23%, Utah at 5%.
Dallas Mavericks held the lead at 95% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Dallas Mavericks, Dallas Mavericks at 78% and Utah at 23% and Utah at 5% were the next closest contenders. The 43.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Dallas Mavericks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 91¢ on Polymarket. Dallas Mavericks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. Utah: 1¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. Utah: 1¢ on Kalshi, 9¢ on Polymarket. The 43.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 95¢ meant the market estimated a 95% chance that Dallas Mavericks would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 95¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 5% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Dallas Mavericks
94.9% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Dallas wins the Utah at Dallas professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.