Live prediction market odds for Jazz vs. Heat. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-09
This market resolved on 2026-02-09. Utah was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 67%.
nba-uta-mia-2026-02-09 : Sports event: Jazz vs. Heat - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
UtahWINNER | 99% | 31% | 67% |
Miami Heat | 1% | 70% | 41% |
Jazz vs. Heat was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Utah led the market at 65% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Miami Heat at 37%.
Utah held the lead at 65% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Utah, Miami Heat at 37% were the next closest contenders. The 68.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Utah: 99¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket, 67¢ on ProphetX. Miami Heat: 1¢ on Kalshi, 70¢ on Polymarket, 41¢ on ProphetX. The 68.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 65¢ meant the market estimated a 65% chance that Utah would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 65¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 54% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Utah
65.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Utah wins the Utah at Miami professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
