About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Wizards vs. Pacers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-11-28
This market resolved on 2025-11-28. Washington was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
WashingtonWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Indiana Pacers | 99% | 71% |
WashingtonWINNER | 1% | 30% |
Indiana Pacers | 1% | 5% |
Wizards vs. Pacers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Washington led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Indiana Pacers at 85%, Washington at 15%, Indiana Pacers at 3%.
Washington held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Washington, Indiana Pacers at 85% and Washington at 15% and Indiana Pacers at 3% were the next closest contenders. The 28.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Washington: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Indiana Pacers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 71¢ on Polymarket. Washington: 1¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket. Indiana Pacers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket. The 28.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Washington would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Washington
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Washington wins the Washington vs Indiana professional basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 28, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.