Live prediction market odds for Wizards vs. Grizzlies. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-20
This market resolved on 2025-12-20. Washington was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 58%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
WashingtonWINNER | 99% | 17% |
Memphis Grizzlies | 1% | 84% |
Wizards vs. Grizzlies was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Washington led the market at 58% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Memphis Grizzlies at 42%.
Washington held the lead at 58% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Washington, Memphis Grizzlies at 42% were the next closest contenders. The 82.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Washington: 99¢ on Kalshi, 17¢ on Polymarket. Memphis Grizzlies: 1¢ on Kalshi, 84¢ on Polymarket. The 82.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 58¢ meant the market estimated a 58% chance that Washington would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 58¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 72% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Washington
57.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Memphis wins the Washington vs Memphis professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 20, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
