Question 1

What was "Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Miami Heat led the market at 96% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Washington at 4%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat"?

Accepted Answer

Miami Heat held the lead at 96% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Miami Heat, Washington at 4% were the next closest contenders. The 8.8% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Miami Heat: 99¢ on Kalshi, 91¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Washington: 1¢ on Kalshi, 10¢ on Polymarket, 3¢ on ProphetX. The 8.8% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 96% odds for Miami Heat mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 96¢ meant the market estimated a 96% chance that Miami Heat would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 96¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 4% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
Miami HeatWINNER	99%	91%	99%
Washington	1%	10%	3%

Miami Heat Wins: Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat