Live prediction market odds for Wizards vs. Kings. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-16
This market resolved on 2026-01-16. Sacramento was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 84%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
SacramentoWINNER | 99% | 70% |
Washington | 1% | 31% |
Wizards vs. Kings was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Sacramento led the market at 84% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Washington at 16%.
Sacramento held the lead at 84% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Sacramento, Washington at 16% were the next closest contenders. The 29.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Sacramento: 99¢ on Kalshi, 70¢ on Polymarket. Washington: 1¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket. The 29.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 84¢ meant the market estimated a 84% chance that Sacramento would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 84¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 19% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Sacramento
84.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Sacramento wins the Washington at Sacramento professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
