About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Wizards vs. Spurs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-18
This market resolved on 2025-12-18. San Antonio was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 94%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
San AntonioWINNER | 99% | 89% |
Washington | 1% | 12% |
Wizards vs. Spurs was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). San Antonio led the market at 94% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Washington at 6%.
San Antonio held the lead at 94% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind San Antonio, Washington at 6% were the next closest contenders. The 10.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: San Antonio: 99¢ on Kalshi, 89¢ on Polymarket. Washington: 1¢ on Kalshi, 12¢ on Polymarket. The 10.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 94¢ meant the market estimated a 94% chance that San Antonio would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 94¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 6% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
San Antonio
93.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf San Antonio wins the Washington vs San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for Dec 18, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.