Live prediction market odds for NC-01 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt
2026-11-04
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the NC-01 House winner for the upcoming 2026 elections. The outcome will influence party control in Congress and shape legislative priorities, making it a critical race to watch.
Democratic Party leads the “NC-01 House winner” event at 50.2% implied probability, followed by Republican Party at 48.8%. A 14.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Key factors include candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and local issues that resonate with voters. Polling data and endorsements also play a significant role in shaping market expectations.
The NC-01 House race is crucial as it could determine which party gains a seat in Congress, affecting the balance of power. A shift in control can lead to changes in legislative agendas and priorities.
The election for the NC-01 House seat is scheduled for November 4, 2026. This date is significant as it coincides with the general election, which will include various federal and state races.
NC-01 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Democratic Party leads at 50% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican Party at 49%.
Democratic Party currently leads at 50% implied probability. Behind Democratic Party, Republican Party at 49% are the next closest contenders. The 14.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Democratic Party
50.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for NC-1 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
