Live prediction market odds for NC-11 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-04
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NC-11 House race for the upcoming 2026 elections. This contest is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues in the region.
Democratic Party leads the “NC-11 House winner” event at 48.0% implied probability, followed by Republican Party at 39.3%. A 22.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Factors include candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and local issues that resonate with voters. Polling data and endorsements also play a crucial role in shaping market perceptions.
Prediction markets aggregate the collective opinions of participants, who buy and sell shares based on their expectations of outcomes. Prices reflect the perceived probability of each candidate winning.
The NC-11 House race is significant as it could impact the overall composition of the House of Representatives. Additionally, it serves as a barometer for national political trends and voter engagement.
NC-11 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democratic Party leads at 48% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican Party at 39%.
Democratic Party currently leads at 48% implied probability. Behind Democratic Party, Republican Party at 39% are the next closest contenders. The 22.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Democratic Party
48.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for NC-11 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
