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Live prediction market odds for Nepal vs Hong Kong. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Draw (Nepal vs. Hong Kong SAR) Wins: Nepal vs Hong Kong

Resolved 2026-03-26

This market resolved on 2026-03-26. Draw (Nepal vs. Hong Kong SAR) was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 65%.

About This Market

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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the cricket match between Nepal and Hong Kong on March 26, 2026. This match is crucial for both teams as they compete for qualification in international tournaments, impacting their global rankings and future opportunities.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Draw (Nepal vs. Hong Kong SAR)WINNER
29%100%
Hong Kong
60%50%
Nepal
30%50%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is at stake in the Nepal vs Hong Kong match?

The match is significant for both teams as they vie for qualification in upcoming international tournaments. Winning can enhance their standings and provide greater exposure.

How do prediction markets reflect the match outcome?

Prediction markets aggregate real-time odds based on various factors including team performance, player conditions, and historical data. These odds fluctuate as new information becomes available leading up to the match.

What factors influence the odds for this match?

Key factors include recent team performances, injuries, and head-to-head statistics. Additionally, the venue and weather conditions on match day can also impact the odds.

What was "Nepal vs Hong Kong" and why did it matter?

Nepal vs Hong Kong was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Draw (Nepal vs. Hong Kong SAR) led the market at 65% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Hong Kong at 55%, Nepal at 40%.

What moved the odds on "Nepal vs Hong Kong"?

Draw (Nepal vs. Hong Kong SAR) held the lead at 65% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Draw (Nepal vs. Hong Kong SAR), Hong Kong at 55% and Nepal at 40% were the next closest contenders. The 71.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread71.0%
Platforms2
Candidates3
Winner

Draw (Nepal vs. Hong Kong SAR)

64.5% avg

Market Rulebook: Nepal vs Hong Kong

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Nepal wins the Nepal vs Hong Kong professional Intl Friendlies soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Nepal vs Hong Kong professional Intl Friendlies soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
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