Live prediction market odds for Nepal vs Hong Kong. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-26
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the cricket match between Nepal and Hong Kong on March 26, 2026. This match is crucial for both teams as they compete for qualification in international tournaments, impacting their global rankings and future opportunities.
Tie leads the “Nepal vs Hong Kong” event at 67.9% implied probability. Other contenders include Nepal (20.5%), and Hong Kong SAR (13.6%). A 44.8% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
The match is significant for both teams as they vie for qualification in upcoming international tournaments. Winning can enhance their standings and provide greater exposure.
Prediction markets aggregate real-time odds based on various factors including team performance, player conditions, and historical data. These odds fluctuate as new information becomes available leading up to the match.
Key factors include recent team performances, injuries, and head-to-head statistics. Additionally, the venue and weather conditions on match day can also impact the odds.
Nepal vs Hong Kong is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Tie leads at 68% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Nepal at 21%, Hong Kong SAR at 14%.
Tie currently leads at 68% implied probability. Behind Tie, Nepal at 21% and Hong Kong SAR at 14% are the next closest contenders. The 44.8% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Tie
67.9% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Nepal wins the Nepal vs Hong Kong professional Intl Friendlies soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Nepal vs Hong Kong professional Intl Friendlies soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Polymarket