Live prediction market odds for Netanyahu out by...?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
Polymarket / Predict.fun
2026-12-31
Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)
December 31 is priced at 50.0% implied probability for the “Netanyahu out by...” event. A 4.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Netanyahu out by... is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Polymarket, Predict.fun). December 31 leads at 50% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
December 31 currently leads at 50% implied probability. The 4.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Polymarket, Predict.fun: December 31: 48¢ on Polymarket. The 4.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 50¢ means the market estimates a 50% probability that December 31 will be the outcome. Buying one share at 50¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 100% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Netanyahu out by...?” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
December 31
50.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.
Predict.fun{'description': 'This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from/is removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".\n\nNote that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu\'s resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n\nCreated At: 2026-03-02T12:59:39.535400541Z'}
