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ShareRousey leads the “Netflix MMA Special: Rousey vs Carano” event at 78.7% implied probability, followed by Carano at 21.8%. A 2.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Live prediction market odds for Netflix MMA Special: Rousey vs Carano. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-17
Rousey leads the “Netflix MMA Special: Rousey vs Carano” event at 78.7% implied probability, followed by Carano at 21.8%. A 2.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Netflix MMA Special: Rousey vs Carano is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Rousey leads at 79% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Carano at 22%.
Rousey currently leads at 79% implied probability. Behind Rousey, Carano at 22% are the next closest contenders. A 2.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Rousey: 80¢ on Kalshi, 77¢ on Polymarket. Carano: 21¢ on Kalshi, 23¢ on Polymarket. The 2.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 79¢ means the market estimates a 79% probability that Rousey will be the outcome. Buying one share at 79¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 27% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Rousey
78.7% avg