Live prediction market odds for Nevada Democratic Governor nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-09
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Nevada Democratic Governor nominee for the upcoming 2026 election. The outcome will influence party dynamics and strategies leading into the general election, making it a focal point for political analysts and voters alike.
Aaron Ford leads the “Nevada Democratic Governor nominee” event at 86.8% implied probability, followed by Alexis Hill at 4.0%. A 5.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Odds are shaped by candidate popularity, polling data, and endorsements. Additionally, local and national political trends can impact voter sentiment leading up to the election.
The primary election is scheduled for June 9, 2026. This date is crucial as it determines the Democratic candidate for the general election.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of outcomes. Prices reflect the collective sentiment and can change rapidly with new information or events.
Nevada Democratic Governor nominee is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Aaron Ford leads at 87% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Alexis Hill at 4%.
Aaron Ford currently leads at 87% implied probability. Behind Aaron Ford, Alexis Hill at 4% are the next closest contenders. The 5.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Aaron Ford
86.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Aaron Ford wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Nevada Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Nevada, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Nevada Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
