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Live prediction market odds for Nevada Democratic Governor nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Aaron Ford Wins: Nevada Democratic Governor nominee?

Resolved 2026-06-09

This market resolved on 2026-06-09. Aaron Ford was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

Share

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Nevada Democratic Governor nominee for the upcoming 2026 election. The outcome will influence party dynamics and strategies leading into the general election, making it a focal point for political analysts and voters alike.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Aaron FordWINNER
100%98%
Alexis Hill
0%0%

Candidate Spotlight

About Aaron Ford

Aaron Ford is the current Attorney General of Nevada, serving since 2019. Before this, he was the Majority Leader of the Nevada State Senate. He is running for governor in the 2026 election, challenging incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo.

About Alexis Hill

Alexis Hill is the Chair of the Washoe County Commission in Nevada. She was first elected to the commission in 2020 and became chair in 2023. She is running for the Democratic nomination for Nevada governor in the 2026 election.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Nevada Democratic Governor nominee?

Odds are shaped by candidate popularity, polling data, and endorsements. Additionally, local and national political trends can impact voter sentiment leading up to the election.

When is the election for the Nevada Democratic Governor nominee?

The primary election is scheduled for June 9, 2026. This date is crucial as it determines the Democratic candidate for the general election.

How do prediction markets work for political nominations?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of outcomes. Prices reflect the collective sentiment and can change rapidly with new information or events.

What was "Nevada Democratic Governor nominee?" and why did it matter?

Nevada Democratic Governor nominee was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Aaron Ford led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Alexis Hill at 0%.

What moved the odds on "Nevada Democratic Governor nominee?"?

Aaron Ford held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Aaron Ford, Alexis Hill at 0% were the next closest contenders. A 1.9% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Republican Party
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.9%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Winner

Aaron Ford

99.0% avg

Market Rulebook: Nevada Democratic Governor nominee?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Aaron Ford wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Nevada Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Republican Party
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