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Live prediction market odds for New Hampshire Republican Senate nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and PredictIt.

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Kalshi / PredictIt

New Hampshire Republican Senate nominee?

2026-09-08

About This Market

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Prediction markets on Kalshi and PredictIt are tracking the New Hampshire Republican Senate nominee for the 2026 election. The outcome will influence party dynamics and strategies leading into the general election, making it a critical contest for Republican candidates in the state.

John E. Sununu leads the “New Hampshire Republican Senate nominee” event at 90.0% implied probability, followed by Scott Brown at 6.8%. A 4.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
JE
John E. SununuARB
90% Avg
Kalshi89¢
PredictIt92¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
88.0%87¢89¢11¢13¢
PredictItPredictIt
91.0%90¢92¢8¢10¢
SB
Scott Brown
8% Avg
Kalshi10¢
PredictIt9¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
8.0%6¢10¢90¢94¢
PredictItPredictIt
7.5%6¢9¢91¢94¢

Candidate Spotlight

About John E. Sununu

John E. Sununu is a former U.S. Senator from New Hampshire, having served from 2003 to 2009. He is currently campaigning to reclaim his former seat in the 2026 U.S. Senate race. His candidacy is relevant to this prediction market as he seeks the Republican nomination for the seat vacated by retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen.

About Scott Brown

Scott Brown is a Republican politician and diplomat. He served as U.S. Senator from Massachusetts from 2010 to 2013 and as Ambassador to New Zealand and Samoa from 2017 to 2020. He is currently campaigning for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire, aiming to succeed retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the New Hampshire Republican Senate nominee?

Polling data, candidate endorsements, and fundraising efforts play crucial roles in shaping the odds. Additionally, voter sentiment and national political trends can significantly impact market perceptions.

How does the New Hampshire primary affect the Senate race?

New Hampshire's primary is often seen as a bellwether, influencing candidate momentum and national attention. A strong performance can boost a candidate's visibility and fundraising capabilities.

What is at stake for the Republican Party in this Senate race?

Winning the New Hampshire Senate seat is vital for the Republican Party to maintain or gain control in the Senate. The outcome could affect legislative agendas and party unity heading into the 2026 elections.

What is "New Hampshire Republican Senate nominee?" and why does it matter?

New Hampshire Republican Senate nominee is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, PredictIt). John E. Sununu leads at 90% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Scott Brown at 7%.

What is moving the odds on "New Hampshire Republican Senate nominee?"?

John E. Sununu currently leads at 90% implied probability. Behind John E. Sununu, Scott Brown at 7% are the next closest contenders. The 4.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Democratic PartyRepublican Party
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread4.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

John E. Sununu

90.0% avg

Market Rulebook: New Hampshire Republican Senate nominee?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Scott Brown wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II New Hampshire Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Democratic PartyRepublican Party
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