Live prediction market odds for Next CEO of Apple?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2027-01-01
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the next CEO of Apple, with speculation rising as the current leadership approaches retirement. The outcome could influence Apple's strategic direction and market performance, making it a focal point for investors and tech enthusiasts alike.
John Ternus is priced at 27.3% implied probability for the “Next CEO of Apple” event. A 5.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
The next CEO of Apple will shape the company's future direction and innovation strategies. Leadership changes can impact investor confidence and stock performance.
Odds are influenced by internal company dynamics, industry trends, and public speculation about potential candidates. Media coverage and analyst opinions also play a role.
The transition is anticipated around early 2027, coinciding with the current CEO's projected retirement timeline. This timing adds urgency to the speculation and market activity.
Next CEO of Apple is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). John Ternus leads at 27% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
John Ternus currently leads at 27% implied probability. The 5.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf John Ternus is confirmed as CEO for Apple Inc. before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.
PolymarketJohn Ternus
27.3% avg
