Live prediction market odds for Next Fed rate hike?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Kalshi
2028-01-01
Before 2028 leads the “Next Fed rate hike” event at 78.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Before July 2027 (63.5%), and Before 2027 (58.5%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
Next Fed rate hike is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Before 2028 leads at 78% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Before July 2027 at 64%, Before 2027 at 59%.
Before 2028 currently leads at 78% implied probability. Behind Before 2028, Before July 2027 at 64% and Before 2027 at 59% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi: Before 2028: 78¢ on Kalshi. Before July 2027: 64¢ on Kalshi. Before 2027: 59¢ on Kalshi. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 78¢ means the market estimates a 78% probability that Before 2028 will be the outcome. Buying one share at 78¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 28% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Before 2028
78.0% avg
