Question 1

What factors influence the NFC North Division Winner odds?

Accepted Answer

Team performance, player injuries, and head-to-head matchups are key factors. Additionally, coaching strategies and schedule strength can impact the division race.

Question 2

When does the NFC North Division competition conclude?

Accepted Answer

The competition for the NFC North Division title concludes on January 4, 2027, coinciding with the end of the regular NFL season. The top team at that time will be crowned the division champion.

Question 3

How do prediction markets reflect changes in team performance?

Accepted Answer

Prediction markets adjust odds based on real-time information, such as game outcomes and player news. As teams win or lose, or as injuries occur, market prices can fluctuate significantly.

Question 4

What is "NFC North Division Winner" and why does it matter?

Accepted Answer

NFC North Division Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Detroit Lions leads at 35% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Green Bay Packers at 30%, Green Bay Packers at 30%, Chicago Bears at 19%.

Question 5

What is moving the odds on "NFC North Division Winner"?

Accepted Answer

Detroit Lions currently leads at 35% implied probability. Behind Detroit Lions, Green Bay Packers at 30% and Green Bay Packers at 30% and Chicago Bears at 19% are the next closest contenders. The 10.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 6

What are the current odds for "NFC North Division Winner" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Detroit Lions: 33¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket. Green Bay Packers: 33¢ on Kalshi, 28¢ on Polymarket. Green Bay Packers: 33¢ on Kalshi, 28¢ on Polymarket. Chicago Bears: 24¢ on Kalshi, 14¢ on Polymarket. The 10.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 7

What does it mean that Detroit Lions is at 35%?

Accepted Answer

A price of 35¢ means the market estimates a 35% probability that Detroit Lions will be the outcome. Buying one share at 35¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 186% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	32.5%	32¢	33¢	67¢	68¢
Polymarket	37.5%	30¢	45¢	55¢	70¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	32.5%	32¢	33¢	67¢	68¢
Polymarket	27.5%	22¢	33¢	67¢	78¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	32.5%	32¢	33¢	67¢	68¢
Polymarket	27.5%	22¢	33¢	67¢	78¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	23.0%	22¢	24¢	76¢	78¢
Polymarket	17.5%	14¢	21¢	79¢	86¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	13.5%	13¢	14¢	86¢	87¢
Polymarket	14.5%	14¢	15¢	85¢	86¢

NFC North Division Winner

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Market Rulebook: NFC North Division Winner