What was "NFL AFC North Division Winner in 2025-2026 Season?" and why did it matter?
NFL AFC North Division Winner in 2025-2026 Season was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Pittsburgh led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Baltimore at 26%, Cincinnati at 26%, Cleveland at 26%.
What moved the odds on "NFL AFC North Division Winner in 2025-2026 Season?"?
Pittsburgh held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Pittsburgh, Baltimore at 26% and Cincinnati at 26% and Cleveland at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
What were the final odds for "NFL AFC North Division Winner in 2025-2026 Season?" across platforms?
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Pittsburgh: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Baltimore: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Cincinnati: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Cleveland: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
What did 100% odds for Pittsburgh mean?
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Pittsburgh would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
