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Live prediction market odds for NFL AFC South Division Winner in 2025-2026 Season?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-15
This market resolved on 2026-01-15. Jacksonville was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
JacksonvilleWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Houston | 1% | 50% |
Indianapolis | 1% | 50% |
Tennessee | 1% | 50% |
NFL AFC South Division Winner in 2025-2026 Season was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Jacksonville led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Houston at 26%, Indianapolis at 26%, Tennessee at 26%.
Jacksonville held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Jacksonville, Houston at 26% and Indianapolis at 26% and Tennessee at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Jacksonville: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Houston: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Indianapolis: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Tennessee: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Jacksonville would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Jacksonville
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Houston wins the Pro Football AFC South Division, then the market resolves to Yes.