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Live prediction market odds for NFL AFC West Division Winner in 2025-2026 Season?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-15
This market resolved on 2026-01-15. Denver was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
DenverWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Kansas City | 1% | 50% |
Las Vegas | 1% | 50% |
Los Angeles C | 1% | 50% |
NFL AFC West Division Winner in 2025-2026 Season was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Denver led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Kansas City at 26%, Las Vegas at 26%, Los Angeles C at 26%.
Denver held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Denver, Kansas City at 26% and Las Vegas at 26% and Los Angeles C at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Denver: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Kansas City: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Las Vegas: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Los Angeles C: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Denver would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Denver
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Kansas City wins the Pro Football AFC West Division, then the market resolves to Yes.