Live prediction market odds for NFL Coach of the Year Winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-01
This market resolved on 2026-02-01. Mike Vrabel was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Mike VrabelWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Liam Coen | 2% | 50% |
Aaron Glenn | 1% | 50% |
Andy Reid | 1% | 50% |
Ben Johnson | 1% | 50% |
Brian Callahan | 1% | 50% |
Brian Daboll | 1% | 50% |
Brian Schottenheimer | 1% | 50% |
Dan Campbell | 1% | 50% |
Dan Quinn | 1% | 50% |
Dave Canales | 1% | 50% |
Demeco Ryans | 1% | 50% |
Jim Harbaugh | 1% | 50% |
John Harbaugh | 1% | 50% |
Jonathan Gannon | 1% | 50% |
Kellen Moore | 1% | 50% |
Kevin O'Connell | 1% | 50% |
Kevin Stefanski | 1% | 50% |
Kyle Shanahan | 1% | 50% |
Matt LaFleur | 1% | 50% |
Mike Macdonald | 1% | 50% |
Mike McDaniel | 1% | 50% |
Mike Tomlin | 1% | 50% |
Nick Sirianni | 1% | 50% |
Pete Carroll | 1% | 50% |
Raheem Morris | 1% | 50% |
Sean McDermott | 1% | 50% |
Sean McVay | 1% | 50% |
Sean Payton | 1% | 50% |
Shane Steichen | 1% | 50% |
Todd Bowles | 1% | 50% |
Zac Taylor | 1% | 50% |
NFL Coach of the Year Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Mike Vrabel led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Liam Coen at 26%, Aaron Glenn at 26%, Andy Reid at 26%.
Mike Vrabel held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Mike Vrabel, Liam Coen at 26% and Aaron Glenn at 26% and Andy Reid at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Mike Vrabel: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Liam Coen: 2¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Aaron Glenn: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Andy Reid: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Mike Vrabel would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Mike Vrabel
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Mike Macdonald wins the Pro football AP Coach of the Year in the 2025-26 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
