Live prediction market odds for Bills vs. Patriots. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-14
This market resolved on 2025-12-14. Buffalo Bills was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Buffalo BillsWINNER | 99% | 100% |
New England | 1% | 5% |
Bills vs. Patriots was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Buffalo Bills led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include New England at 3%.
Buffalo Bills held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Buffalo Bills, New England at 3% were the next closest contenders. The 4.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Buffalo Bills: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. New England: 1¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket. The 4.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Buffalo Bills would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Buffalo Bills
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf New England wins the Buffalo at New England professional football game originally scheduled for Dec 14, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who is the winner (or participant awarded a tie) in the Buffalo at New England professional football game originally scheduled for Dec 14, 2025. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. If the game is declared a tie, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both teams.
