Live prediction market odds for Lions vs. Bears. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-04
This market resolved on 2026-01-04. Detroit Lions was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 89%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Detroit LionsWINNER | 99% | 80% |
Chicago Bears | 1% | 21% |
Lions vs. Bears was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Detroit Lions led the market at 89% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Chicago Bears at 11%.
Detroit Lions held the lead at 89% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Detroit Lions, Chicago Bears at 11% were the next closest contenders. The 19.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Detroit Lions: 99¢ on Kalshi, 80¢ on Polymarket. Chicago Bears: 1¢ on Kalshi, 21¢ on Polymarket. The 19.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 89¢ meant the market estimated a 89% chance that Detroit Lions would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 89¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 12% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Detroit Lions
89.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Chicago wins the Detroit at Chicago professional football game originally scheduled for Jan 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who is the winner (or participant awarded a tie) in the Detroit at Chicago professional football game originally scheduled for Jan 4, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. If the game is declared a tie, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both teams.
