Live prediction market odds for Texans vs. Chiefs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-07
This market resolved on 2025-12-07. Houston Texans was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 67%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Houston TexansWINNER | 99% | 34% |
Kansas City Chiefs | 1% | 66% |
Texans vs. Chiefs was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Houston Texans led the market at 67% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Kansas City Chiefs at 34%.
Houston Texans held the lead at 67% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Houston Texans, Kansas City Chiefs at 34% were the next closest contenders. The 65.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Houston Texans: 99¢ on Kalshi, 34¢ on Polymarket. Kansas City Chiefs: 1¢ on Kalshi, 66¢ on Polymarket. The 65.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 67¢ meant the market estimated a 67% chance that Houston Texans would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 67¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 49% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Houston Texans
66.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Kansas City wins the Houston at Kansas City professional football game originally scheduled for Dec 7, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who is the winner (or participant awarded a tie) in the Houston at Kansas City professional football game originally scheduled for Dec 7, 2025. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. If the game is declared a tie, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both teams.
