Live prediction market odds for Colts vs. Texans. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-04
This market resolved on 2026-01-04. Houston Texans was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Houston TexansWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Indianapolis Colts | 1% | 5% |
Colts vs. Texans was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Houston Texans led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Indianapolis Colts at 3%.
Houston Texans held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts at 3% were the next closest contenders. The 4.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Houston Texans: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Indianapolis Colts: 1¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket. The 4.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Houston Texans would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Houston Texans
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Houston wins the Indianapolis at Houston professional football game originally scheduled for Jan 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who is the winner (or participant awarded a tie) in the Indianapolis at Houston professional football game originally scheduled for Jan 4, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. If the game is declared a tie, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both teams.
