Live prediction market odds for Chiefs vs. Raiders. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-04
This market resolved on 2026-01-04. Las Vegas Raiders was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 79%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Las Vegas RaidersWINNER | 99% | 59% |
Kansas City Chiefs | 1% | 41% |
Chiefs vs. Raiders was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Las Vegas Raiders led the market at 79% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Kansas City Chiefs at 21%.
Las Vegas Raiders held the lead at 79% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Las Vegas Raiders, Kansas City Chiefs at 21% were the next closest contenders. The 40.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Las Vegas Raiders: 99¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket. Kansas City Chiefs: 1¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket. The 40.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 79¢ meant the market estimated a 79% chance that Las Vegas Raiders would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 79¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 27% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Las Vegas Raiders
79.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Las Vegas wins the Kansas City at Las Vegas professional football game originally scheduled for Jan 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who is the winner (or participant awarded a tie) in the Kansas City at Las Vegas professional football game originally scheduled for Jan 4, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. If the game is declared a tie, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both teams.
