Live prediction market odds for Raiders vs. Texans. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-21
This market resolved on 2025-12-21. Houston Texans was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 90%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Houston TexansWINNER | 99% | 80% |
Las Vegas Raiders | 1% | 20% |
Raiders vs. Texans was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Houston Texans led the market at 90% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Las Vegas Raiders at 11%.
Houston Texans held the lead at 90% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Houston Texans, Las Vegas Raiders at 11% were the next closest contenders. The 19.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Houston Texans: 99¢ on Kalshi, 80¢ on Polymarket. Las Vegas Raiders: 1¢ on Kalshi, 20¢ on Polymarket. The 19.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 90¢ meant the market estimated a 90% chance that Houston Texans would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 90¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 11% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Houston Texans
89.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Houston wins the Las Vegas at Houston professional football game originally scheduled for Dec 21, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who is the winner (or participant awarded a tie) in the Las Vegas at Houston professional football game originally scheduled for Dec 21, 2025. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. If the game is declared a tie, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both teams.
