Live prediction market odds for Dolphins vs. Patriots. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-04
This market resolved on 2026-01-04. New England was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
New EnglandWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Miami Dolphins | 1% | 15% |
Dolphins vs. Patriots was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New England led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Miami Dolphins at 8%.
New England held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind New England, Miami Dolphins at 8% were the next closest contenders. The 14.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New England: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Miami Dolphins: 1¢ on Kalshi, 15¢ on Polymarket. The 14.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that New England would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
New England
99.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf New England wins the Miami at New England professional football game originally scheduled for Jan 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who is the winner (or participant awarded a tie) in the Miami at New England professional football game originally scheduled for Jan 4, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. If the game is declared a tie, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both teams.
