About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for 49ers vs. Colts. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-22
This market resolved on 2025-12-22. San Francisco was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 83%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
San FranciscoWINNER | 99% | 67% |
Indianapolis Colts | 1% | 34% |
49ers vs. Colts was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). San Francisco led the market at 83% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Indianapolis Colts at 17%.
San Francisco held the lead at 83% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind San Francisco, Indianapolis Colts at 17% were the next closest contenders. The 32.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: San Francisco: 99¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket. Indianapolis Colts: 1¢ on Kalshi, 34¢ on Polymarket. The 32.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 83¢ meant the market estimated a 83% chance that San Francisco would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 83¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 20% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
San Francisco
82.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Indianapolis wins the San Francisco at Indianapolis professional football game originally scheduled for Dec 22, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who is the winner (or participant awarded a tie) in the San Francisco at Indianapolis professional football game originally scheduled for Dec 22, 2025. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. If the game is declared a tie, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both teams.