Live prediction market odds for Commanders vs. Eagles. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-04
This market resolved on 2026-01-04. Washington was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 59%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
WashingtonWINNER | 99% | 20% |
Philadelphia | 1% | 81% |
Commanders vs. Eagles was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Washington led the market at 59% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Philadelphia at 41%.
Washington held the lead at 59% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Washington, Philadelphia at 41% were the next closest contenders. The 79.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Washington: 99¢ on Kalshi, 20¢ on Polymarket. Philadelphia: 1¢ on Kalshi, 81¢ on Polymarket. The 79.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 59¢ meant the market estimated a 59% chance that Washington would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 59¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 69% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Washington
59.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Philadelphia wins the Washington at Philadelphia professional football game originally scheduled for Jan 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who is the winner (or participant awarded a tie) in the Washington at Philadelphia professional football game originally scheduled for Jan 4, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. If the game is declared a tie, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both teams.
