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Live prediction market odds for NHL #1 Overall Pick. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

NHL #1 Overall Pick

2026-06-27

About This Market

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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the NHL #1 Overall Pick for the 2026 draft. This event is pivotal as it influences team strategies and player careers in the league, with teams vying for the top talent available.

Ivar Stenberg leads the “NHL #1 Overall Pick” event at 15.8% implied probability. Other contenders include Keaton Verhoeff (1.4%), and Tynan Lawrence (0.6%). A 2.3% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
IS
Ivar Stenberg
17% Avg
Kalshi20¢
Polymarket17¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
17.0%14¢20¢80¢86¢
PolymarketPolymarket
16.5%16¢17¢83¢84¢
KV
Keaton Verhoeff
1% Avg
Kalshi5¢
Polymarket0¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
2.5%0¢5¢95¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
0.0%0¢0¢100¢100¢
TL
Tynan Lawrence
0% Avg
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket0¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
0.0%0¢0¢100¢100¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the NHL #1 Overall Pick?

Odds are influenced by player performances in junior leagues, scouting reports, and team needs. Additionally, trades and draft lottery results can shift expectations significantly.

When is the NHL #1 Overall Pick event scheduled?

The NHL #1 Overall Pick is scheduled for June 27, 2026. This date marks a crucial moment for teams looking to secure top prospects.

How do prediction markets work for the NHL draft?

Prediction markets allow participants to bet on outcomes, with prices reflecting the perceived likelihood of each player being selected first. As new information becomes available, such as player performances and team strategies, the odds can fluctuate.

What is "NHL #1 Overall Pick" and why does it matter?

NHL #1 Overall Pick is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Ivar Stenberg leads at 16% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Keaton Verhoeff at 1%, Tynan Lawrence at 1%.

What is moving the odds on "NHL #1 Overall Pick"?

Ivar Stenberg currently leads at 16% implied probability. Behind Ivar Stenberg, Keaton Verhoeff at 1% and Tynan Lawrence at 1% are the next closest contenders. A 2.3% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.

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¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.3%
Platforms2
Candidates3
Leader

Ivar Stenberg

15.8% avg

Market Rulebook: NHL #1 Overall Pick

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Ivar Stenberg is selected as the 1st overall pick in the 2026 NHL Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
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