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Live prediction market odds for NHL #1 Overall Pick. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

NHL #1 Overall Pick

2026-06-27

About This Market

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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the NHL #1 Overall Pick for the 2026 draft. This event is pivotal as it influences team strategies and player careers in the league, with teams vying for the top talent available.

Gavin McKenna leads the “NHL #1 Overall Pick” event at 93.3% implied probability. Other contenders include Ivar Stenberg (4.4%), Keaton Verhoeff (1.1%), Chase Reid (1.2%), and Caleb Malhotra (0.5%). A 3.2% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
GM
Gavin McKenna
94% Avg
Kalshi95¢
Polymarket94¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
94.5%94¢95¢5¢6¢
PolymarketPolymarket
93.0%92¢94¢6¢9¢
IS
Ivar Stenberg
4% Avg
Kalshi6¢
Polymarket6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
4.5%3¢6¢94¢97¢
PolymarketPolymarket
3.5%1¢6¢94¢99¢
KV
Keaton VerhoeffARB
1% Avg
Kalshi3¢
Polymarket0¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
2.5%2¢3¢97¢98¢
PolymarketPolymarket
0.0%0¢0¢100¢100¢
CR
Chase Reid
1% Avg
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket3¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
1.5%0¢3¢97¢100¢
CM
Caleb Malhotra
1% Avg
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the NHL #1 Overall Pick?

Odds are influenced by player performances in junior leagues, scouting reports, and team needs. Additionally, trades and draft lottery results can shift expectations significantly.

When is the NHL #1 Overall Pick event scheduled?

The NHL #1 Overall Pick is scheduled for June 27, 2026. This date marks a crucial moment for teams looking to secure top prospects.

How do prediction markets work for the NHL draft?

Prediction markets allow participants to bet on outcomes, with prices reflecting the perceived likelihood of each player being selected first. As new information becomes available, such as player performances and team strategies, the odds can fluctuate.

What is "NHL #1 Overall Pick" and why does it matter?

NHL #1 Overall Pick is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Gavin McKenna leads at 93% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Ivar Stenberg at 4%, Keaton Verhoeff at 1%, Chase Reid at 1%.

What is moving the odds on "NHL #1 Overall Pick"?

Gavin McKenna currently leads at 93% implied probability. Behind Gavin McKenna, Ivar Stenberg at 4% and Keaton Verhoeff at 1% and Chase Reid at 1% are the next closest contenders. The 3.2% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread3.2%
Platforms2
Candidates5
Leader

Gavin McKenna

93.3% avg

Market Rulebook: NHL #1 Overall Pick

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Gavin McKenna is selected as the 1st overall pick in the 2026 NHL Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?