Live prediction market odds for NHL Calder Memorial Trophy Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
Updated Apr 4, 9:57 PM EDT
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the NHL Calder Memorial Trophy Winner. This award recognizes the league's top rookie, with factors like player performance, team success, and injuries influencing the odds.
Matthew Schaefer leads the “NHL Calder Memorial Trophy Winner” event at 96.3% implied probability. Other contenders include Beckett Sennecke (2.7%), Ivan Demidov (2.2%), and Zeev Buium (0.7%). A 4.7% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
The Calder Trophy is awarded based on a player's performance during their first NHL season. Voter considerations include points scored, overall impact on games, and contributions to team success.
Injuries to rookie players can significantly impact their chances of winning the Calder Trophy. If a player misses games or plays at less than full capacity, their odds may decrease as voters consider overall performance.
Team success can influence Calder Trophy voting, as players on winning teams may receive more recognition. A rookie's contribution to a playoff-bound team can enhance their visibility and perceived value.
NHL Calder Memorial Trophy Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Matthew Schaefer leads at 96% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Beckett Sennecke at 3%, Ivan Demidov at 2%, Zeev Buium at 1%.
Matthew Schaefer currently leads at 96% implied probability. Behind Matthew Schaefer, Beckett Sennecke at 3% and Ivan Demidov at 2% and Zeev Buium at 1% are the next closest contenders. The 4.7% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Matthew Schaefer
96.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
