Question 1

What criteria are used to determine the winner of the James Norris Memorial Trophy?

Accepted Answer

The trophy is awarded annually to the defenseman who demonstrates the greatest all-round ability in the position. Voter opinions, based on performance statistics and contributions to team success, play a crucial role in the selection process.

Question 2

When is the James Norris Memorial Trophy typically awarded?

Accepted Answer

The James Norris Memorial Trophy is usually awarded at the NHL Awards ceremony, which takes place after the conclusion of the regular season. For the 2025-2026 season, the ceremony is expected to be held in June 2026.

Question 3

How do prediction markets adjust their odds for the Norris Trophy?

Accepted Answer

Odds in prediction markets fluctuate based on player performances, injuries, and team standings throughout the season. As the season progresses, market participants react to news and statistics, leading to dynamic changes in the odds.

Question 4

What is "NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy Winner" and why does it matter?

Accepted Answer

NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Zach Werenski leads at 96% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Charlie McAvoy at 6%, Thomas Harley at 6%, Evan Bouchard at 5%.

Question 5

What is moving the odds on "NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy Winner"?

Accepted Answer

Zach Werenski currently leads at 96% implied probability. Behind Zach Werenski, Charlie McAvoy at 6% and Thomas Harley at 6% and Evan Bouchard at 5% are the next closest contenders. The 9.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 6

What are the current odds for "NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy Winner" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Zach Werenski: 99¢ on Kalshi, 92¢ on Polymarket. Charlie McAvoy: 1¢ on Kalshi, 10¢ on Polymarket. Thomas Harley: 1¢ on Kalshi, 10¢ on Polymarket. Evan Bouchard: 1¢ on Kalshi, 8¢ on Polymarket. The 9.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 7

What does it mean that Zach Werenski is at 96%?

Accepted Answer

A price of 96¢ means the market estimates a 96% probability that Zach Werenski will be the outcome. Buying one share at 96¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 4% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	50.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢
Polymarket	89.0%	86¢	92¢	8¢	14¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	50.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢
Polymarket	40.0%	10¢	70¢	30¢	90¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	50.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢
Polymarket	20.0%	10¢	30¢	70¢	90¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	50.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢
Polymarket	10.0%	8¢	12¢	88¢	92¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	50.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢
Polymarket	5.5%	0¢	11¢	89¢	100¢

NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy Winner

About This Market

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About Zach Werenski

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Market Rulebook: NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy Winner