Question 1

What was "Bruins vs. Lightning" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Bruins vs. Lightning was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). TB Lightning led the market at 77% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Boston Bruins at 23%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Bruins vs. Lightning"?

Accepted Answer

TB Lightning held the lead at 77% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind TB Lightning, Boston Bruins at 23% were the next closest contenders. The 33.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Bruins vs. Lightning" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: TB Lightning: 99¢ on Kalshi, 66¢ on Polymarket, 66¢ on ProphetX. Boston Bruins: 1¢ on Kalshi, 35¢ on Polymarket, 34¢ on ProphetX. The 33.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 77% odds for TB Lightning mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 77¢ meant the market estimated a 77% chance that TB Lightning would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 77¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 30% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
TB LightningWINNER	99%	66%	66%
Boston Bruins	1%	35%	34%

TB Lightning Wins: Bruins vs. Lightning

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Bruins vs. Lightning