Live prediction market odds for Sabres vs. Lightning. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-03
This market resolved on 2026-02-03. TB Lightning was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 81%.
nhl-buf-tb-2026-02-03 : Sports event: Sabres vs. Lightning - nhl
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
TB LightningWINNER | 99% | 63% |
Buffalo Sabres | 1% | 38% |
Sabres vs. Lightning was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). TB Lightning led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Buffalo Sabres at 19%.
TB Lightning held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind TB Lightning, Buffalo Sabres at 19% were the next closest contenders. The 36.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: TB Lightning: 99¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket. Buffalo Sabres: 1¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket. The 36.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that TB Lightning would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
TB Lightning
80.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf TB Lightning wins the Buffalo at Tampa Bay professional hockey game scheduled for Feb 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
