Live prediction market odds for Flames vs. Canadiens. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-07
This market resolved on 2026-01-07. Montreal Canadiens was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 78%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Montreal CanadiensWINNER | 99% | 57% |
Calgary Flames | 1% | 44% |
Flames vs. Canadiens was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Montreal Canadiens led the market at 78% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Calgary Flames at 22%.
Montreal Canadiens held the lead at 78% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Montreal Canadiens, Calgary Flames at 22% were the next closest contenders. The 42.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Montreal Canadiens: 99¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. Calgary Flames: 1¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. The 42.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 78¢ meant the market estimated a 78% chance that Montreal Canadiens would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 78¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 28% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Montreal Canadiens
77.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf MTL Canadiens wins the Calgary at Montreal professional hockey game scheduled for Jan 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
