Live prediction market odds for Flames vs. Penguins. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-10
This market resolved on 2026-01-10. Calgary Flames was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Calgary FlamesWINNER | 99% | 100% |
PIT Penguins | 1% | 5% |
Flames vs. Penguins was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Calgary Flames led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include PIT Penguins at 3%.
Calgary Flames held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Calgary Flames, PIT Penguins at 3% were the next closest contenders. The 4.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Calgary Flames: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. PIT Penguins: 1¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket. The 4.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Calgary Flames would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Calgary Flames
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf PIT Penguins wins the Calgary at Pittsburgh professional hockey game scheduled for Jan 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
