About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Flames vs. Sharks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-16
This market resolved on 2025-12-16. SJ Sharks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 71%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
SJ SharksWINNER | 99% | 44% |
Calgary Flames | 1% | 57% |
Flames vs. Sharks was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). SJ Sharks led the market at 71% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Calgary Flames at 29%.
SJ Sharks held the lead at 71% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind SJ Sharks, Calgary Flames at 29% were the next closest contenders. The 55.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: SJ Sharks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. Calgary Flames: 1¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. The 55.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 71¢ meant the market estimated a 71% chance that SJ Sharks would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 71¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 41% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
SJ Sharks
71.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf SJ Sharks wins the Calgary vs San Jose professional hockey game scheduled for Dec 16, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.