Live prediction market odds for Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-25
This market resolved on 2026-01-25. Colorado Avalanche was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 80%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Colorado AvalancheWINNER | 99% | 61% |
TOR Maple Leafs | 1% | 40% |
Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Colorado Avalanche led the market at 80% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include TOR Maple Leafs at 20%.
Colorado Avalanche held the lead at 80% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Colorado Avalanche, TOR Maple Leafs at 20% were the next closest contenders. The 38.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Colorado Avalanche: 99¢ on Kalshi, 61¢ on Polymarket. TOR Maple Leafs: 1¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket. The 38.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 80¢ meant the market estimated a 80% chance that Colorado Avalanche would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 80¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 25% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Colorado Avalanche
79.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf COL Avalanche wins the Colorado at Toronto professional hockey game scheduled for Jan 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
