About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Stars vs. Sharks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-18
This market resolved on 2025-12-18. SJ Sharks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
SJ SharksWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Dallas Stars | 99% | 65% |
SJ SharksWINNER | 1% | 36% |
Dallas Stars | 1% | 15% |
Stars vs. Sharks was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). SJ Sharks led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Dallas Stars at 82%, SJ Sharks at 18%, Dallas Stars at 8%.
SJ Sharks held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind SJ Sharks, Dallas Stars at 82% and SJ Sharks at 18% and Dallas Stars at 8% were the next closest contenders. The 34.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: SJ Sharks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Dallas Stars: 99¢ on Kalshi, 65¢ on Polymarket. SJ Sharks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 36¢ on Polymarket. Dallas Stars: 1¢ on Kalshi, 15¢ on Polymarket. The 34.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that SJ Sharks would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
SJ Sharks
99.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf SJ Sharks wins the Dallas vs San Jose professional hockey game scheduled for Dec 18, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.