Live prediction market odds for Oilers vs. Penguins. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-16
This market resolved on 2025-12-16. Edmonton Oilers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 78%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Edmonton OilersWINNER | 99% | 58% |
PIT Penguins | 1% | 43% |
Oilers vs. Penguins was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Edmonton Oilers led the market at 78% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include PIT Penguins at 22%.
Edmonton Oilers held the lead at 78% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Edmonton Oilers, PIT Penguins at 22% were the next closest contenders. The 41.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Edmonton Oilers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. PIT Penguins: 1¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. The 41.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 78¢ meant the market estimated a 78% chance that Edmonton Oilers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 78¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 28% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Edmonton Oilers
78.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf PIT Penguins wins the Edmonton vs Pittsburgh professional hockey game scheduled for Dec 16, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
