Live prediction market odds for Panthers vs. Lightning. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-05
This market resolved on 2026-02-05. TB Lightning was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 82%.
nhl-fla-tb-2026-02-05 : Sports event: Panthers vs. Lightning - nhl
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
TB LightningWINNER | 99% | 66% |
Florida Panthers | 1% | 35% |
Panthers vs. Lightning was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). TB Lightning led the market at 82% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Florida Panthers at 18%.
TB Lightning held the lead at 82% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind TB Lightning, Florida Panthers at 18% were the next closest contenders. The 33.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: TB Lightning: 99¢ on Kalshi, 66¢ on Polymarket. Florida Panthers: 1¢ on Kalshi, 35¢ on Polymarket. The 33.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 82¢ meant the market estimated a 82% chance that TB Lightning would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 82¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 22% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
TB Lightning
82.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf TB Lightning wins the Florida at Tampa Bay professional hockey game scheduled for Feb 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
